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Depending on where you intend to share this, here are three post options tailored to different contexts: Option 1: Academic or Educational (Focus on Biases) 🧠
If you’re trying to figure out if your "luck" is truly random or just a streak, the logs in here might help. Download the .7z pack below to compare your own results against the 15-set baseline! #GamingStats #Probability #LuckOrMath Option 3: Direct & Minimalist (For Forums or File Sharing) 📁
Reminder for the team: When reviewing these sequences, remember that while "BBBGGG" looks "too orderly" to be random, it has the exact same probability as any other specific sequence of six. We're testing how often participants fall for the gambler's fallacy at this sample size (
Let me know if anyone has trouble extracting the files or needs the raw CSV format instead!
For those tracking the "bbbggg" patterns in the latest BoardGameGeek or OSRS simulation trials, I’ve compiled the last 15 sets into this archive.
Just uploaded to the project folder. This archive contains the expanded simulation sets for our study on the representativeness heuristic.
The string "bbbggg" is a classic example used in behavioral economics and psychology (notably by Daniel Kahneman) to illustrate the —our tendency to perceive certain random sequences, like "BGBBGB," as "more random" or more likely than patterned ones like "BBBGGG," even when their mathematical probability is identical.
Depending on where you intend to share this, here are three post options tailored to different contexts: Option 1: Academic or Educational (Focus on Biases) 🧠
If you’re trying to figure out if your "luck" is truly random or just a streak, the logs in here might help. Download the .7z pack below to compare your own results against the 15-set baseline! #GamingStats #Probability #LuckOrMath Option 3: Direct & Minimalist (For Forums or File Sharing) 📁 multiple_bbbggg15.7z
Reminder for the team: When reviewing these sequences, remember that while "BBBGGG" looks "too orderly" to be random, it has the exact same probability as any other specific sequence of six. We're testing how often participants fall for the gambler's fallacy at this sample size ( Depending on where you intend to share this,
Let me know if anyone has trouble extracting the files or needs the raw CSV format instead! We're testing how often participants fall for the
For those tracking the "bbbggg" patterns in the latest BoardGameGeek or OSRS simulation trials, I’ve compiled the last 15 sets into this archive.
Just uploaded to the project folder. This archive contains the expanded simulation sets for our study on the representativeness heuristic.
The string "bbbggg" is a classic example used in behavioral economics and psychology (notably by Daniel Kahneman) to illustrate the —our tendency to perceive certain random sequences, like "BGBBGB," as "more random" or more likely than patterned ones like "BBBGGG," even when their mathematical probability is identical.